Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765f1073c7589e6d7ad9d8095fa48a664b6fec4389beea164f6dc0712b784d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 7,154$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 63c | 4,336$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.74 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,611$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 29c | 1,514$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 29c | 1,178$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.28 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 68c | 1,008$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 770.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 17c | 699.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 560$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 18c | 361.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 302.32$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 77c | 249.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 24c | 244.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…3e28backed Yes | 67c | 163.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 54c | 134.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 52c | 115.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 49c | 114.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…75d4backed Yes | 77c | 103.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…e13bbacked Yes | 24c | 57.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 18c | 56.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 67c | 52.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 49.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 57c | 47.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed Yes | 63c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…9a56backed No | 40c | 37.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 29c | 35.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 68c | 30.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 78c | 29.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 74c | 19.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed No | 78c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.