Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8657bc0a0bb7cf9b3f01bdbadf9a8638ab338441c2523656f115657a9d13336d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 3,400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,289$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 79c | 2,220$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.15 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,803$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,514$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,433$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 20c | 1,312$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 19c | 1,303$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 20c | 1,015$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 5c | 887$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…85a0backed Yes | 16c | 864.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 11c | 578.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 20c | 562.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 559.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 20c | 500.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…2272backed Yes | 21c | 480.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 20c | 369.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 20c | 337.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 220.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…0496backed Yes | 19c | 190.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 19c | 158.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 19c | 154.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 140.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 19c | 132.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…dc64backed Yes | 19c | 127.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 20c | 115.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 20c | 115.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…24f4backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Yes | 20c | 97.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…3942backed Yes | 16c | 95.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…92a0backed Yes | 18c | 62.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5d73backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.