Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. Houston Christian Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51c3223b2abc022b21957119ad1edd577437694bb3eb43261ba4f48add859c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Christian Huskiesof Northwestern State Demons, Houston Christian Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 23c | 1,034$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.87 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern State Demons | 55c | 948.41$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern State Demons | 60c | 637.32$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 329.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern State Demons | 71c | 253.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 6c | 236.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Houston Christian Huskies | 63c | 229$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 206$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Houston Christian Huskies | 15c | 182.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 166.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Houston Christian Huskies | 44c | 143$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Houston Christian Huskies | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 50c | 119.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Christian Huskies | 55c | 93.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern State Demons | 63c | 91.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Houston Christian Huskies | 46c | 89.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northwestern State Demons | 60c | 70.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 68.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern State Demons | 28c | 66.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 63c | 66.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern State Demons | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 58.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Christian Huskies | 28c | 52.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 41c | 33.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 72c | 30.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…8a1fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.