TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsof Bethune-Cookman Wildcats, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19a0…ac39backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats46c1,867$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.218654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa194…a62abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions62c1,123$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c711$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats64c636.62$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.672,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats37c555$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.834833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions18c499.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.32,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions34c370.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.791,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions55c294.03$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions62c243.12$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6919057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions59c197.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.733,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions72c195.2$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions42c172$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats52c171.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0f…49a0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions46c166.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.822,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats57c149.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.074,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions16c135$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.193993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions41c132$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.661,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions22c118.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.68930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats58c85.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c84.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.493,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions65c82.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8113956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats32c73.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdedd…7738backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats27c47.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats59c32.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c31.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc16…8505backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats57c30.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8b…9ad2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions43c30.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions42c29.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c27.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats60c23.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.616100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.