Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae6a43d5d8fafad4015c8cb8217445e5601a6d0110679cbd359544887052e93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 2,750$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 2,633$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.01 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed No | 67c | 2,530$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,988$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 27c | 829.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 793.44$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 77c | 707.79$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 603$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 26c | 456.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 446.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…171ebacked Yes | 26c | 423.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 380.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 371.8$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 62c | 322.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 47c | 317.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 309.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 268.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 65c | 268.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 238$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 165$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 41c | 156.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 153.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 136.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 120.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 103.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 26c | 98.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 51c | 95.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…9d33backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 74.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 73.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 70.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 30c | 69.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 78c | 66.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 58.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 44c | 56.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 54.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 43.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 42.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 41.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 73c | 35.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d2afbacked No | 77c | 33.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 44c | 30.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 21.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 68c | 20.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.