Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b019d6e6768d9d326982f421c20d03abc45a7bdf8aab263d5bc8f86d94cc8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,993 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,399$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,336$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,111$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 1,082$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.22 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 1,039$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 24c | 989.42$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 854.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 10c | 742.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 506.11$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 446.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…171ebacked Yes | 26c | 423.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 391.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 257.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 199.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 8c | 182$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 16c | 174$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 23c | 158.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 134.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 125.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 120.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 94.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 50.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.