South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0ace191083dad43ead71b5b76a2c557928e85a7ce3893f8c35cd9ed4842588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,901$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.33 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 52c | 692.91$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 58c | 688.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 427.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 412.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 61c | 401.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 400.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 49c | 396.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 52c | 298.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 287.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 281.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 51c | 264.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 255.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 239.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 223.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 51c | 175.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 43c | 85.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 76.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 38c | 45.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 52c | 37.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…f9c9backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 49c | 35.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 56c | 35.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…2a35backed Yes | 46c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.