Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Vera Zvonareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ccd981e693f2ae004107e96e3ca7b9999f97526eea2f641045389a06abb114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zarazuaof Zarazua, Zvonareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Zarazua | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zvonareva | 42c | 2,660$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Zarazua | 64c | 2,588$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zvonareva | 36c | 1,881$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zarazua | 56c | 1,793$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.94 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Zvonareva | 40c | 1,586$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zvonareva | 36c | 1,304$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zvonareva | 14c | 1,267$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Zvonareva | 40c | 1,084$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Zvonareva | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zvonareva | 13c | 978.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zvonareva | 39c | 583$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Zvonareva | 13c | 552.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Zarazua | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zvonareva | 34c | 341$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zvonareva | 29c | 306.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zvonareva | 35c | 232.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked Zarazua | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Zvonareva | 51c | 208.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Zarazua | 61c | 201.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Zvonareva | 31c | 188.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Zarazua | 61c | 164.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zarazua | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Zarazua | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -9.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Zarazua | 61c | 153.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zvonareva | 28c | 146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Zvonareva | 30c | 130.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zarazua | 61c | 110.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Zarazua | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Zarazua | 64c | 107.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Zvonareva | 13c | 103.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zvonareva | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zarazua | 79c | 93.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…d7a1backed Zarazua | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Zvonareva | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zarazua | 53c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zvonareva | 40c | 47.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…e88fbacked Zarazua | 77c | 42.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…dab9backed Zarazua | 64c | 40.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Zvonareva | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Zarazua | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Zarazua | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zarazua | 62c | 29.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Zarazua | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zarazua | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.