Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde250ca6a6bdb89e05f2889810a7d28c7a76eeb8cc5ad33d57b95951d433930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 8c | 5,946$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.94 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 2,943$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 2,279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 6c | 1,668$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 9c | 984.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 16c | 753.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 647.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 494$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 6c | 491.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 7c | 441.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 8c | 417.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 8c | 413$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…02fcbacked Yes | 6c | 408.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 6c | 383.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 19c | 376.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…a533backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 8c | 322.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 299.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…d76fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 8c | 240.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 7c | 200.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 193$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 7c | 170.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…a41fbacked Yes | 7c | 146.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…0284backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 16c | 106.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbd…c023backed Yes | 13c | 91.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…f998backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw?No won
- Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.