Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23244a814733255fc5b6284850cf442f023935aa75aa0188de4093113ea84ab5

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No	24c	21,734$5,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,173.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	77c	11,717$9,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,681.93	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	72c	4,736$3,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.18	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	71c	3,486$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.74	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	17c	2,989$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.4	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No	16c	2,003$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.92	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	19c	1,540$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.63	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	12c	853.55$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.64	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed No	24c	853.17$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.76	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No	24c	835.31$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.25	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes	79c	819.56$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.47	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed No	41c	731.9$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	19c	670.41$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.94	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No	19c	612.11$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.56	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No	19c	592.42$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	19c	570.5$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.16	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	25c	561$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.45	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes	76c	544.88$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.77	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No	17c	512.04$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.05	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed No	20c	500.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	18c	343.4$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.71	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No	21c	324.9$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.98	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No	10c	298.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No	19c	285.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	19c	245.37$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	19c	241.71$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.01	199	39.7%79 W · 120 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	20c	200.41$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.41	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No	6c	199.65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No	15c	186$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	9c	180$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes	75c	172.65$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.94	275	38.5%106 W · 169 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes	80c	167.5$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	136	53.7%73 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes	62c	161.17$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.17	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	13c	139.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes	75c	131.76$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.94	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e49…7186backed No	18c	125$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	19c	122.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.66	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes	63c	104$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.48	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked No	20c	102.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes	79c	100.17$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.93	91	74.7%68 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed No	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	32.3%42 W · 88 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	271	45.8%124 W · 147 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked No	40c	99.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No	18c	99.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes	79c	85.65$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.99	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	32c	82.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	20c	78.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1416…670cbacked Yes	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Yes	78c	71.8$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	79c	69.27$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.83	459	47.7%219 W · 240 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x264f…1b98backed No	20c	69.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	137	32.1%44 W · 93 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44c…48a4backed No	24c	64.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No	19c	60.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Yes	74c	57.21$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.07	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	18c	57.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85ef…a41fbacked No	19c	54.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked No	19c	53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	156	62.8%98 W · 58 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes	71c	49.66$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.63	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Yes	77c	48.65$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	190	69.5%132 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed No	26c	38.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba8…ba5ebacked Yes	80c	37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes	80c	31.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	277	67.9%188 W · 89 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes	75c	30.65$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.66	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Yes	80c	28.66$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.73	52	75%39 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes	71c	26.48$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.79	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Yes	79c	24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Yes	78c	22.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.81	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a0…6e74backed Yes	79c	20.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.34	55	80%44 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Yes	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	81	65.4%53 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes	79c	17.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.73	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	294	63.3%186 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06?this page
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06?No won
Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event