Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Final)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f0165b5f76d0a8b451caae94a2f5e41d8e28c8989dcd3345db2242d09d323d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Scorchersof Perth Scorchers, Sydney Sixers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Sydney Sixers | 2c | 34,002$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Sydney Sixers | 43c | 8,021$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…b1f5backed Sydney Sixers | 0c | 5,866$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Perth Scorchers | 63c | 4,775$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 3,750$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Perth Scorchers | 65c | 3,259$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Perth Scorchers | 57c | 3,179$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…7b7fbacked Sydney Sixers | 16c | 2,882$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Sixers | 2c | 2,397$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Sixers | 37c | 2,117$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.29 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…0923backed Sydney Sixers | 24c | 1,298$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Sydney Sixers | 37c | 1,150$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sydney Sixers | 1c | 919.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Perth Scorchers | 71c | 889.4$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 857.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Sydney Sixers | 4c | 718$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Perth Scorchers | 57c | 591.4$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.3 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sydney Sixers | 5c | 582.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…ecffbacked Sydney Sixers | 17c | 484.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Sydney Sixers | 7c | 480.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Perth Scorchers | 62c | 464.81$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…a90abacked Sydney Sixers | 23c | 441.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Perth Scorchers | 72c | 435.04$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Sydney Sixers | 42c | 426.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Sydney Sixers | 28c | 367.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…1fb6backed Sydney Sixers | 39c | 355$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Sydney Sixers | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Sydney Sixers | 14c | 336.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…be7bbacked Sydney Sixers | 4c | 307.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +439.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…62a0backed Sydney Sixers | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sydney Sixers | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5866…875fbacked Sydney Sixers | 6c | 286.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 282.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Sydney Sixers | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 253$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…08eebacked Sydney Sixers | 43c | 234.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bb32backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 232.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…f4fcbacked Sydney Sixers | 43c | 231.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Sydney Sixers | 34c | 208.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Sydney Sixers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…a13ebacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 193.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…6b61backed Sydney Sixers | 13c | 156.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…c403backed Sydney Sixers | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Perth Scorchers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Perth Scorchers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Sydney Sixers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 112.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…adcebacked Perth Scorchers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed Sydney Sixers | 43c | 104.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…8470backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sydney Sixers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Sydney Sixers | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…90cbbacked Sydney Sixers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Sydney Sixers | 17c | 98.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 85.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sydney Sixers | 37c | 83.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…ab47backed Sydney Sixers | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dd…cbc3backed Sydney Sixers | 14c | 80.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…7581backed Sydney Sixers | 38c | 73.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Sydney Sixers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Perth Scorchers | 72c | 67.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…36e0backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 62.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Perth Scorchers | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 58.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…d3babacked Sydney Sixers | 21c | 58.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Sydney Sixers | 46c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Perth Scorchers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 38.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sydney Sixers | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Perth Scorchers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Perth Scorchers | 70c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Perth Scorchers | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…f11fbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…a9d8backed Perth Scorchers | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.