TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d8c…08ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.61
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.86
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.08
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.88
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.68
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$103.23
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147.83
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$98.27
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$96.88
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$90.39
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55.09
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$134.2
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$176.54
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$143.48
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160.79
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$76.65
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$90.36
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$192.35
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$97.4
Kraken vs. Bruinsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75.83
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$86.8
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.12
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$75.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$56.34
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$56.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Zhengzhou: Daria Zelinskaya vs Xi Luobacked Daria Zelinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Final)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.