Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Daria Zelinskaya vs Xi Luo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a02a0945ba6d117e4e8a8bf6c2bf459ce5d184a71f75c0d97a6b9cc209823f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xi Luoof Daria Zelinskaya, Xi Luo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 63c | 4,745$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xi Luo | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…b743backed Xi Luo | 47c | 1,708$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Xi Luo | 49c | 707.77$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xi Luo | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Xi Luo | 39c | 520$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daria Zelinskaya | 47c | 457.02$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Xi Luo | 73c | 416.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Xi Luo | 55c | 370.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Xi Luo | 43c | 360.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xi Luo | 29c | 296.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Xi Luo | 51c | 252.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Daria Zelinskaya | 51c | 248.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 21c | 243.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Xi Luo | 43c | 233.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xi Luo | 39c | 209.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 50c | 205.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Xi Luo | 49c | 198.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Daria Zelinskaya | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…ca66backed Xi Luo | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…bc3dbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 56c | 146.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Daria Zelinskaya | 44c | 146.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Xi Luo | 50c | 139.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 50c | 132.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 44c | 132.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xi Luo | 43c | 132.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Xi Luo | 45c | 130.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 45c | 120.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Xi Luo | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Xi Luo | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Xi Luo | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Daria Zelinskaya | 43c | 114.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Xi Luo | 37c | 107.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…511bbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 56c | 98.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e8d2backed Xi Luo | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Xi Luo | 59c | 79.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xi Luo | 56c | 71.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Xi Luo | 71c | 70.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Xi Luo | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Xi Luo | 22c | 66.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d9a0backed Xi Luo | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…1a1dbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 61c | 55.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…ad43backed Daria Zelinskaya | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…f246backed Daria Zelinskaya | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Daria Zelinskaya | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Xi Luo | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Xi Luo | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Xi Luo | 62c | 35.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Daria Zelinskaya | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Xi Luo | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bb32backed Xi Luo | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…08eebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Daria Zelinskaya | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Daria Zelinskaya | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Xi Luo | 59c | 18.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Zhengzhou: Daria Zelinskaya vs Xi Luothis page
- Set Handicap: Zelinskaya (-1.5) vs Luo (+1.5)Luo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.