NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87edd59d0438e3021f18b2cdbd8dc70b190588544de9b4199e06f1482ceb63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,896$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 2,805$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 50c | 2,602$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 1,999$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.57 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 53c | 1,903$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.07 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,347$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,339$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,126$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.93 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 1,064$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 972.92$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 814.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 723.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 700$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 630$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 52c | 535.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 46c | 490$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 358.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 53c | 272$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 252.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Under | 52c | 141.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 12c | 141.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 16c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…ffd6backed Over | 54c | 122.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 104.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 92.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 85.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 53.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 51c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Over | 52c | 26.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Hawks vs. GrizzliesHawks won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.