CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c86fc6c71b219004d054b13db9c18768a54ee45aaa3569bb120d4064e183dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 49c | 214.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 129.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 94.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…d896backed Over | 51c | 84.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 66c | 80.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 37c | 79.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 52c | 76.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…f8d5backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…12e2backed Over | 52c | 54.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 48c | 46.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.