Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe714ed82f55ce7ca87b4b07563b2349cf6309175801289bc4c4b723a79e987ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,155 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 4,411$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.17 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 741.74$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 57c | 440$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 43c | 401$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 332.22$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 252.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 204.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 202$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 190.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 167.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 43c | 132$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 43c | 78.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 78.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 74.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 47.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 45c | 40.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 38c | 40.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed Yes | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 60c | 26.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 79c | 26.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 42c | 26.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…4730backed Yes | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed No | 63c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.