Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3209e751a7790e3e88ad69994f71543e6b9912ebf79bfbe45729f82a8f435e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 923.29$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 79c | 775.43$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 614.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 442.29$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 20c | 406.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 290.56$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 22c | 201$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 192.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 185.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 108.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 19c | 103.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 26c | 93.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 20c | 90.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 27c | 59.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.