Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28999c88490bffd8aa02c839a05b98aaeba7917f1f0039851f043bab49f056a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d36…f787backed HULIGANI | 24c | 15,658$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed HULIGANI | 24c | 6,356$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Yandex | 75c | 2,737$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.2 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Yandex | 77c | 2,433$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.59 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,968$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,895$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Yandex | 76c | 1,746$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Yandex | 76c | 1,664$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Team Yandex | 77c | 1,283$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.04 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed HULIGANI | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked HULIGANI | 21c | 950$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked HULIGANI | 25c | 940$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Yandex | 79c | 930.76$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked HULIGANI | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed HULIGANI | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…f2ddbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked HULIGANI | 10c | 470$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked HULIGANI | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked HULIGANI | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Yandex | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed HULIGANI | 22c | 361.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 330$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Team Yandex | 76c | 315.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Yandex | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HULIGANI | 25c | 213.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 77c | 207.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Yandex | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 152.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…3ff9backed Team Yandex | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked HULIGANI | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 114.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 103.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed HULIGANI | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Team Yandex | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Yandex | 74c | 89.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed HULIGANI | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed HULIGANI | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked HULIGANI | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Team Yandex | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…f977backed HULIGANI | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…b406backed Team Yandex | 75c | 43.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…fc2ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Yandex | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Team Yandex | 76c | 26.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Yandex | 77c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Yandex | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Team Yandex | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…573abacked Team Yandex | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.