Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs John Hallquist Lithen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a2e903215f61707ba508f9f68e7749a3af94ded7dce2c8db4d07d1021cc69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Borgof Leo Borg, John Hallquist Lithen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab70…774cbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 39c | 1,719$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.07 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Leo Borg | 62c | 935.33$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.44 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leo Borg | 44c | 600$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed John Hallquist Lithen | 56c | 586.88$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leo Borg | 66c | 234.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed John Hallquist Lithen | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Leo Borg | 67c | 164.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Borg | 59c | 152.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed John Hallquist Lithen | 34c | 144.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Leo Borg | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…936dbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 25c | 111.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Leo Borg | 50c | 111.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Leo Borg | 59c | 100.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 21c | 95.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Leo Borg | 58c | 95.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Leo Borg | 63c | 92.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Leo Borg | 40c | 85.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 415 | 54.7%227 W · 188 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leo Borg | 45c | 75.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Leo Borg | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed John Hallquist Lithen | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed John Hallquist Lithen | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leo Borg | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Leo Borg | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 284 | 54.2%154 W · 130 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed John Hallquist Lithen | 54c | 49.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 49c | 39.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Leo Borg | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Leo Borg | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Leo Borg | 45c | 34.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed John Hallquist Lithen | 55c | 34.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Leo Borg | 49c | 33.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 450 | 55.3%249 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Leo Borg | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Leo Borg | 77c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed John Hallquist Lithen | 55c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 282 | 63.8%180 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed John Hallquist Lithen | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs John Hallquist Lithenthis page
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: Completed Match: Leo Borg vs John Hallquist LithenYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.