CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3402c6af4aa386d67544387cb0e5e71fa4f0c182b586f3d0ccc12a03024475d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abyssalof Arcade Esports, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Abyssal | 68c | 10,002$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Abyssal | 68c | 5,164$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 3,124$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.81 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Arcade Esports | 31c | 3,000$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Abyssal | 62c | 2,242$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.79 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Abyssal | 60c | 1,986$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.43 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 1,765$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.34 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arcade Esports | 39c | 1,744$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.44 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Arcade Esports | 37c | 1,731$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Abyssal | 50c | 1,653$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.83 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Arcade Esports | 47c | 1,636$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Abyssal | 62c | 1,445$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.06 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Arcade Esports | 34c | 1,358$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Abyssal | 57c | 1,257$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Abyssal | 66c | 1,154$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 1,011$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Arcade Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Abyssal | 71c | 960.93$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…bb43backed Abyssal | 52c | 959.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Arcade Esports | 33c | 957.01$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Abyssal | 67c | 887.69$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Arcade Esports | 31c | 832.25$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 817.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Abyssal | 54c | 717.59$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Arcade Esports | 33c | 680.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Abyssal | 38c | 663.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.32 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…185ebacked Abyssal | 77c | 635.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked Arcade Esports | 35c | 618$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Arcade Esports | 33c | 605.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arcade Esports | 31c | 591.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Arcade Esports | 46c | 590.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 551.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Arcade Esports | 31c | 550.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 533.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Arcade Esports | 30c | 494.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Arcade Esports | 34c | 491.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Abyssal | 62c | 489.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Abyssal | 62c | 434.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 430.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arcade Esports | 57c | 422.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Abyssal | 65c | 418.73$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arcade Esports | 45c | 409.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked Arcade Esports | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Abyssal | 67c | 375.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Arcade Esports | 34c | 373.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Arcade Esports | 41c | 367.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Abyssal | 48c | 353.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Arcade Esports | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 337.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Arcade Esports | 48c | 333$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Abyssal | 61c | 303.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Abyssal | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Arcade Esports | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arcade Esports | 44c | 292.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed Abyssal | 56c | 284.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Arcade Esports | 49c | 279.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 261.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 259.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Abyssal | 62c | 256.79$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Arcade Esports | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Arcade Esports | 47c | 233.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arcade Esports | 28c | 229$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Abyssal | 54c | 219.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked Arcade Esports | 26c | 208.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1b1fbacked Arcade Esports | 35c | 208.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Arcade Esports | 43c | 202.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Arcade Esports | 48c | 197.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed Abyssal | 79c | 195.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Abyssal | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Arcade Esports | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Arcade Esports | 48c | 156.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Arcade Esports | 54c | 148.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Arcade Esports | 28c | 147$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Abyssal | 68c | 145.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Abyssal | 61c | 141.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arcade Esports | 48c | 141.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Arcade Esports | 34c | 136.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Abyssal | 28c | 135$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Arcade Esports | 38c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Abyssal | 61c | 131.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Abyssal | 69c | 130.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Abyssal | 54c | 128.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arcade Esports | 76c | 127.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Arcade Esports | 35c | 127.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed Arcade Esports | 42c | 126.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Arcade Esports | 38c | 122.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Arcade Esports | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Abyssal | 44c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 111.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Abyssal | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Abyssal | 55c | 108.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Arcade Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…9d9cbacked Abyssal | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed Abyssal | 55c | 90.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Abyssal | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Abyssal | 30c | 88.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Abyssal | 57c | 87.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Arcade Esports | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal - Map 1 WinnerAbyssal won
- Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal - Map 2 WinnerArcade Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.