Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff3ead7a1d127fc8c042b3ce50ee5f9deece22799b0ce440801da1becd1b038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 20,009$11,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,004.84 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Lynx | 42c | 4,536$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.32 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 4,153$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.35 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 3,427$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.86 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx | 46c | 3,273$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.19 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 2,671$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.52 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 2,503$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.3 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 2,110$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Lynx | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 1,984$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx | 43c | 1,856$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.15 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 1,643$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Lynx | 46c | 1,503$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.5 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Lynx | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.59 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Lynx | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.25 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Team Lynx | 45c | 860$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 810.32$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 71c | 799.27$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 781.08$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Lynx | 45c | 766$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.3 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Lynx | 39c | 720$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Lynx | 38c | 707.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Lynx | 39c | 677$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.97 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 598.65$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 43c | 582.23$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 574.69$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 564.51$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Lynx | 78c | 519.42$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 514.12$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.91 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 41c | 486.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 455.12$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 451.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Lynx | 45c | 444$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Team Lynx | 45c | 441$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Team Lynx | 44c | 386$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 369.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 334.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 320.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 306.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 305.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Lynx | 45c | 301.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Lynx | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team Lynx | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 283.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx | 50c | 279.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 38c | 263.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 235$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Team Lynx | 47c | 211.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 203$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 45c | 188.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 179.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Team Lynx | 45c | 164.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…efdfbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 149.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Lynx | 41c | 146.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Lynx | 51c | 139.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Team Lynx | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Team Lynx | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Lynx | 80c | 125.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 123.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…87c5backed Team Lynx | 45c | 115.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Team Lynx | 45c | 114.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Team Lynx | 41c | 114.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Lynx | 62c | 111.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Lynx | 42c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Lynx | 41c | 101.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Team Lynx | 45c | 100.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 93.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 81.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Team Lynx | 40c | 75.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Team Lynx | 41c | 73.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Team Lynx | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed Team Lynx | 54c | 64.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 59.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Team Lynx | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx | 59c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Lynx | 45c | 54.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 51.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Lynx | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Team Lynx | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Team Lynx | 40c | 48.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Team Lynx | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Spirit Academy | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Team Lynx | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 43.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.