TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes55c86,604$47,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,762.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c43,326$19,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,418.342,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No44c29,957$13,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,764.0646044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No45c27,881$12,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,434.0416953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes56c15,309$8,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,525.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Yes56c13,273$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,400.151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c10,896$7,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.017,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c4,989$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.391148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c4,531$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.7277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.443444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c4,361$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.6885250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Yes56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c3,260$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.466047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes56c3,209$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.212250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes54c3,121$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.8221151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Yes56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No43c2,651$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.021844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes56c2,080$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.661833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c2,001$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.091,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No45c1,657$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.24757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c1,648$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.032,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No44c1,500$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Yes56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c1,343$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.6439852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes48c1,217$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.537938%30 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes53c1,103$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.423346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No45c1,102$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.2932436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes2c1,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204810.4%5 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes22c899.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4487342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c797.69$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.251,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c794.02$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.772,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No58c787.72$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2210936.7%40 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No44c680$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.887745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No62c625$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.553053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes51c576.91$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No45c563$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.192763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Yes22c534.47$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.841010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c527.96$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6612337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Yes57c513.55$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed No46c478.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c467.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.971,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…771cbacked Yes22c455$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes66c453.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010054%54 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No45c351.2$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.164443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes57c344.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.611384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Yes57c344.82$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Yes32c329.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6280%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c326$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.31,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c315.63$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.432,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked No45c288.02$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.65825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Yes56c267.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes56c262.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Yes56c257.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Yes52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes21c249.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.311136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes56c242.32$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.73060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No44c235.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.633464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked No45c211.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c207.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.231,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No64c184.48$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.41875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No46c180.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.569158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes22c177.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No38c176$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11032350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No53c172$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No60c151.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6624466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c150.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No53c149$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.034654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No45c146.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.618050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No44c142$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5211923.5%28 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes22c139.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110539%41 W · 64 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes57c131.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No46c131.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.954055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes53c129$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Yes57c127.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No48c117.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3373440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f3…be04backed No44c115.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6421854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No45c112.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8418743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Yes55c108.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No46c106.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4812664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked No23c105.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c105.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdc…6eedbacked No49c102.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes35c101.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.622931%9 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.