Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9b9af9f83c8c0cb59bf48346d4dd9f7b968a8a9b4885adfbe7c6006e817c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 7,343$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.45 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,912$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,524$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,419$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 651.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…771cbacked Yes | 9c | 494.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 465.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 22c | 454.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 77c | 384.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 370.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 27c | 370.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 22c | 338.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 239$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 239$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 237.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 152.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 26c | 76.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 74.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 22c | 46.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 76c | 44.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 77c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 76c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken end in a draw?this page
- Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.