Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b2ce414d3d1203ef2947849a02acd562de021722536e424c702f8bb87d815b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 10,643$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.82 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 6,646$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 5,002$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 10c | 4,262$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 4,112$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.51 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 4,068$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.82 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.95 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 2,242$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.93 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 2,102$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.68 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 2,045$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.37 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 1,992$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.59 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 1,968$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.66 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 39c | 1,842$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.38 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 39c | 1,698$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.37 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 1,065$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.83 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c5…3188backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 61c | 809.98$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…a17cbacked Yes | 60c | 778.75$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed No | 40c | 610.72$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…1c0cbacked Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 376.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 314.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 38c | 299.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 283$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 265.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 39c | 256.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d0b4backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 39c | 239.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 37c | 209$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 39c | 163.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 40c | 134.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 39c | 131$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 61c | 110.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Yes | 61c | 97.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 57c | 90.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…92c6backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…c8bfbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…8d38backed Yes | 61c | 79.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…1471backed Yes | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 71c | 69.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 61c | 64.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 39c | 62.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 61c | 57.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked No | 39c | 55.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 62c | 55.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…70f7backed Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 39c | 44.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked No | 39c | 38.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 39c | 37.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 38c | 31.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…9796backed Yes | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 61c | 30.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0b08backed No | 40c | 28.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…6ef1backed Yes | 61c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…9259backed No | 39c | 27.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 60c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Draw at halftime?No won
- Coventry City FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.