Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Darya Astakhova vs Rada Zolotareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe03f9d2c6ede4b1321e3db89e4c9ea028236a12e01ee1dba6d1cce1853b23c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rada Zolotarevaof Darya Astakhova, Rada Zolotareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darya Astakhova | 35c | 7,102$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.33 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rada Zolotareva | 76c | 1,574$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Rada Zolotareva | 64c | 1,571$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.71 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rada Zolotareva | 52c | 1,240$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Darya Astakhova | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.42 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Rada Zolotareva | 67c | 1,060$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Darya Astakhova | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Rada Zolotareva | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Rada Zolotareva | 65c | 1,004$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Darya Astakhova | 40c | 925.84$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Rada Zolotareva | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Rada Zolotareva | 63c | 888.67$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.77 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Darya Astakhova | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rada Zolotareva | 62c | 759.37$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Darya Astakhova | 14c | 719.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darya Astakhova | 48c | 553.31$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 471.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rada Zolotareva | 51c | 309.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Rada Zolotareva | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Darya Astakhova | 43c | 296.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Darya Astakhova | 50c | 264.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rada Zolotareva | 43c | 260.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 256.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rada Zolotareva | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 242.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rada Zolotareva | 43c | 240.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Darya Astakhova | 42c | 230.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Rada Zolotareva | 45c | 229.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Darya Astakhova | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…a5fbbacked Darya Astakhova | 47c | 210.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Rada Zolotareva | 62c | 198.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Rada Zolotareva | 64c | 184.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Darya Astakhova | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Rada Zolotareva | 54c | 164.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 272 | 56.3%153 W · 119 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Darya Astakhova | 37c | 148.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Darya Astakhova | 53c | 145.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Darya Astakhova | 41c | 125.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Rada Zolotareva | 60c | 120.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Rada Zolotareva | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Darya Astakhova | 42c | 113.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Darya Astakhova | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Rada Zolotareva | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Darya Astakhova | 35c | 100.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Darya Astakhova | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Rada Zolotareva | 50c | 87.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Darya Astakhova | 63c | 87.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Rada Zolotareva | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rada Zolotareva | 52c | 80.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Rada Zolotareva | 61c | 80.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darya Astakhova | 26c | 76.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Rada Zolotareva | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Rada Zolotareva | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Rada Zolotareva | 53c | 63.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 141 | 24.8%35 W · 106 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Darya Astakhova | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Darya Astakhova | 40c | 59.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darya Astakhova | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Darya Astakhova | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Rada Zolotareva | 47c | 53.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Rada Zolotareva | 52c | 45.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Rada Zolotareva | 67c | 40.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Darya Astakhova | 34c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Darya Astakhova | 33c | 33.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Rada Zolotareva | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 257 | 68.1%175 W · 82 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rada Zolotareva | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Darya Astakhova | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…07dfbacked Darya Astakhova | 38c | 28.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rada Zolotareva | 52c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.