Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d960ab397bf16b529074328cb79ad4a9c87fbc79658a2f365a711e36a891ebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 4,995$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.78 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,586$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.17 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 2,689$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 1,982$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.15 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 23c | 1,492$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,163$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,131$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 964.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 963.17$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 909.82$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 886.79$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 651.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 78c | 641.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 536.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 4c | 502.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 4c | 490$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 21c | 404.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 395.07$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 67c | 327$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 27c | 317.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 73c | 312$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 25c | 300.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 291.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 287.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 74c | 279.7$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 262.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 223.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 18c | 173.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 42c | 159$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 138.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 73c | 119$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…adcebacked Yes | 26c | 108.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…4c85backed No | 51c | 99.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 93.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 71c | 90.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 75c | 83.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 55c | 75.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 74c | 67.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 73c | 60.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 53.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 64c | 48.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…4739backed No | 74c | 38.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 33.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked No | 74c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 75c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 73c | 21.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?this page
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-12?Yes won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.