Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f82e33507e1f4b790a179340b8f8da397c4c92f95ba818ad15b6b34c0979744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 6,114$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 3,606$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.3 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 46c | 3,045$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.19 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 2,873$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.24 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 2,677$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.03 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,326$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,042$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.68 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 80c | 560.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 266.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 250.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 221.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 55c | 218.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 161.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 58c | 142.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 68c | 111.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 34c | 87.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 82.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 66.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 66.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 44c | 63.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 57.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Over | 29c | 57.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 60c | 47.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 61c | 47.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Over | 30c | 46.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 26c | 46.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 44.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 54c | 30.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 44c | 27.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 48c | 26.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…981abacked Under | 74c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Under | 80c | 15.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Under | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.