Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfeb3e98ab13da064652be9b6837b17ac936fb0cf79f45d3531841349115707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 10,281$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 4,134$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 55c | 3,659$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.02 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 2,141$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.68 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 1,041$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 42c | 518.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 422.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 10c | 420$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 48c | 413.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 40c | 407.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 330.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 57c | 272.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 11c | 261.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 36c | 184$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x075b…17afbacked Over | 59c | 173.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 80c | 154.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 37c | 129.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 12c | 116.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 112.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 36c | 111.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 81.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 78.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 60c | 51.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 39c | 51.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 44c | 42.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…4cbbbacked Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 60c | 17.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5this page
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.