South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95401dd7dbeab3a62fd36d5c93e377bcc499512057fef784624a4639f362cb19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 37c | 2,427$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 1,656$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 831.63$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 791.92$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 27c | 525.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.49 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 374.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 60c | 232.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 216$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 215.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 28c | 179$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 72c | 154.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 63c | 131.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 63c | 131.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 73c | 88.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 77.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 27c | 59.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 48.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 48.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 27c | 43.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 27c | 39.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 68c | 30.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Under | 80c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 49c | 22.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.