South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34716492d3426488bc13c68798cad090a0694ec31d4c850c42f29d56169a6d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Mineiroof SC Internacional, CA Mineiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SC Internacional | 16c | 3,614$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.09 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Internacional | 25c | 3,543$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed CA Mineiro | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 250 | 55.2%138 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…b680backed CA Mineiro | 77c | 1,848$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CA Mineiro | 73c | 1,312$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 359 | 46.8%168 W · 191 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SC Internacional | 21c | 1,027$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 828 | 34.5%286 W · 542 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SC Internacional | 25c | 957.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed SC Internacional | 10c | 745.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed CA Mineiro | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 243 | 53.9%131 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed CA Mineiro | 79c | 566.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SC Internacional | 22c | 542.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 256$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 182 | 51.1%93 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 254 | 57.1%145 W · 109 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed CA Mineiro | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed CA Mineiro | 77c | 144.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 132.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Internacional | 27c | 64.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed SC Internacional | 20c | 60.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SC Internacional | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed CA Mineiro | 75c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed CA Mineiro | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 217 | 57.6%125 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 204 | 60.3%123 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed CA Mineiro | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)this page
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.