South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7aae63e71458bf5a9613a564bacaefef5401a3f00976fec53d51995f9d4c2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 2c | 1,554$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 36c | 980.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.92 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 765.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 56c | 504.43$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 38c | 392.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 335.8$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 27c | 246.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 36c | 187.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 27c | 158.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 40c | 156.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 39c | 106.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 38c | 105.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 50c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…c095backed Over | 50c | 64.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 60.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 54.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 40c | 54.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 62c | 47.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 33c | 36.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 67c | 36.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 38c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 28.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 64c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.