Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb26ef054944ff14ab7fc2c35237b403f8dfb2e62cd1cb2761de2cde77132e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fortuna Sittardof PSV, Fortuna Sittard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fortuna Sittard | 66c | 5,315$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked PSV | 35c | 4,647$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PSV | 57c | 3,260$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fortuna Sittard | 50c | 2,161$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed PSV | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Fortuna Sittard | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Fortuna Sittard | 46c | 521$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed PSV | 57c | 359.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fortuna Sittard | 47c | 345.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked PSV | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed PSV | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked PSV | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed PSV | 28c | 156.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fortuna Sittard | 67c | 128.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Fortuna Sittard | 67c | 126.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fortuna Sittard | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fortuna Sittard | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Fortuna Sittard | 66c | 92.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Fortuna Sittard | 46c | 90.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fortuna Sittard | 32c | 89.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fortuna Sittard | 64c | 88.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Fortuna Sittard | 67c | 85.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Fortuna Sittard | 34c | 82.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Fortuna Sittard | 68c | 72.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed PSV | 29c | 55.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed PSV | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked PSV | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed PSV | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked PSV | 59c | 35.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked PSV | 69c | 35.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked PSV | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked PSV | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PSV | 67c | 28.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fortuna Sittard | 61c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Fortuna Sittard | 70c | 24.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed PSV | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Fortuna Sittard | 70c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Fortuna Sittard | 72c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)this page
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.