Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ad4d6e4262a4a8eb1f4d95df73b8fefbd31c6e792f7c0d44584c3baf794022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fortuna Sittardof PSV, Fortuna Sittard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361b…74febacked Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 3,185$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fortuna Sittard | 69c | 2,981$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked PSV | 48c | 2,878$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked PSV | 48c | 1,439$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed PSV | 49c | 1,409$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed PSV | 47c | 1,394$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PSV | 11c | 1,264$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Fortuna Sittard | 51c | 1,146$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PSV | 36c | 952.21$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Fortuna Sittard | 56c | 777$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed PSV | 31c | 638.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed PSV | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed PSV | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed PSV | 49c | 380.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed PSV | 49c | 334.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PSV | 11c | 245.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed PSV | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fortuna Sittard | 54c | 207.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Fortuna Sittard | 54c | 169.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Fortuna Sittard | 55c | 121.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Fortuna Sittard | 58c | 119.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked PSV | 49c | 118.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked PSV | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fortuna Sittard | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Fortuna Sittard | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fortuna Sittard | 74c | 96.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…fcefbacked PSV | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Fortuna Sittard | 70c | 83.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PSV | 48c | 83.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PSV | 49c | 83.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…9ec2backed Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 69.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 69.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fortuna Sittard | 70c | 62.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PSV | 50c | 62.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked PSV | 48c | 62.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Fortuna Sittard | 73c | 62.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Fortuna Sittard | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Fortuna Sittard | 57c | 58.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed PSV | 49c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Fortuna Sittard | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Fortuna Sittard | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…a7e9backed PSV | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Fortuna Sittard | 69c | 39.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PSV | 38c | 33.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Fortuna Sittard | 62c | 33.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed PSV | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fortuna Sittard | 53c | 24.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Fortuna Sittard | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Fortuna Sittard | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Fortuna Sittard | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)this page
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.