TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Renata Zarazua

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darja Vidmanovaof Darja Vidmanova, Renata Zarazua
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Darja Vidmanova68c21,654$14,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,914.2964755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Renata Zarazua32c10,197$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.8954541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Renata Zarazua18c8,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41017850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darja Vidmanova57c7,742$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.676,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Renata Zarazua43c7,603$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.2961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Darja Vidmanova55c7,240$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.22,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Renata Zarazua14c6,797$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Renata Zarazua11c5,077$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.447332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Renata Zarazua5c4,622$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.69737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua45c4,225$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.931,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Renata Zarazua6c4,129$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Renata Zarazua44c3,410$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.0127653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Renata Zarazua44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Renata Zarazua43c2,600$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11839243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Renata Zarazua1c2,480$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.541,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Darja Vidmanova79c2,331$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1838550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Darja Vidmanova74c2,254$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.041,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Darja Vidmanova77c1,718$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.583,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Darja Vidmanova56c1,684$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.311,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Darja Vidmanova55c1,630$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.5276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Darja Vidmanova57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Darja Vidmanova56c1,189$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.261,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Renata Zarazua21c1,177$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.268,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Darja Vidmanova77c1,043$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.87851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Renata Zarazua44c910.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6233438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Darja Vidmanova66c899.65$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.361,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Renata Zarazua13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Renata Zarazua20c694.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.612,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc024…cc2ebacked Darja Vidmanova79c690.04$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.148165.4%53 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Darja Vidmanova76c595.32$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.143,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Renata Zarazua10c578.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.125,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7111…7c21backed Renata Zarazua7c545.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Renata Zarazua40c512.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7334047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Renata Zarazua7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Darja Vidmanova76c441$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.421,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Darja Vidmanova65c424.3$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Darja Vidmanova79c379.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7129654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Renata Zarazua27c353.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.559433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Darja Vidmanova73c349.01$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8124858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8c…191cbacked Renata Zarazua45c322.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Darja Vidmanova55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4752backed Renata Zarazua10c299.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Renata Zarazua8c279.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2339446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Renata Zarazua17c276.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.254,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162d…8944backed Renata Zarazua4c255.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013134.4%45 W · 86 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Renata Zarazua16c239.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Renata Zarazua10c230.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2533550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Renata Zarazua43c229.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Renata Zarazua22c225$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1429149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Renata Zarazua43c219.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3227139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Darja Vidmanova57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5340161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Renata Zarazua44c186.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2114347.6%68 W · 75 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Renata Zarazua43c186.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Darja Vidmanova79c185$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Renata Zarazua44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024556.3%138 W · 107 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Renata Zarazua43c174.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9912035.8%43 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Renata Zarazua31c170.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Renata Zarazua31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Renata Zarazua19c156.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6646435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Renata Zarazua39c154.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Renata Zarazua44c152.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9125546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Renata Zarazua43c146.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8821651.4%111 W · 105 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Darja Vidmanova55c131.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.862650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce9…6cfdbacked Renata Zarazua45c128.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Renata Zarazua18c117.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7316941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Renata Zarazua23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Darja Vidmanova61c107.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9270537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Darja Vidmanova56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Renata Zarazua12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Darja Vidmanova56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Darja Vidmanova75c98.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.756552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Renata Zarazua21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9570729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Darja Vidmanova57c89.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.582,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…9811backed Renata Zarazua45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.253243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Renata Zarazua36c78.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2843336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Renata Zarazua43c75.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.538338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Renata Zarazua43c75.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.427,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Renata Zarazua43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Renata Zarazua31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Darja Vidmanova55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6444851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Renata Zarazua37c55.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3169047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Renata Zarazua43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3693557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…fe1abacked Darja Vidmanova57c51.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darja Vidmanova60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.126,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Darja Vidmanova53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.649722.7%22 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Renata Zarazua20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105932.2%19 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Renata Zarazua43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58450%42 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Darja Vidmanova68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9869545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Renata Zarazua43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Renata Zarazua22c46.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2837547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Darja Vidmanova56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2431347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Renata Zarazua44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013057.7%75 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Renata Zarazua26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd4…b60fbacked Renata Zarazua47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.643050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Darja Vidmanova56c37.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5955941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166f…632abacked Renata Zarazua35c37.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311437.7%43 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Darja Vidmanova56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7115856.3%89 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9e…1fc1backed Darja Vidmanova56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Renata Zarazua43c34.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9612839.1%50 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Renata Zarazua43c34.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9611837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.