TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa55a…9811

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: WNBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darya Astakhova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Darya Astakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$27.17
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$87.83
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.54
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.44
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$100.03
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.01
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Rebecca Marino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.92
National Bank Open: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linettebacked Carol Zhao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.33
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$49.62
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Kayla Cross · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.91
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$214.87
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruborbacked Ana Grubor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.92
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$30.95
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$2.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.