Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5adee010a5f519c8a8387c1b00115ddb0ce60e0afc882c8e1d88d234ad5cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zeynep Sonmezof Rebecca Marino, Zeynep Sonmez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rebecca Marino | 14c | 6,872$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Rebecca Marino | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 61c | 5,205$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.57 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rebecca Marino | 7c | 3,768$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 2,664$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.49 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Rebecca Marino | 38c | 1,920$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Rebecca Marino | 38c | 1,884$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rebecca Marino | 8c | 1,818$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebecca Marino | 25c | 1,674$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Rebecca Marino | 7c | 1,336$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 1,323$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Rebecca Marino | 35c | 1,109$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 1,008$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Rebecca Marino | 32c | 937.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rebecca Marino | 18c | 706.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…7298backed Rebecca Marino | 17c | 607.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 446.71$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…9811backed Rebecca Marino | 27c | 412.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Rebecca Marino | 16c | 403.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rebecca Marino | 26c | 399.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rebecca Marino | 7c | 315.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Rebecca Marino | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 203.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rebecca Marino | 25c | 202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…ae90backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 191.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebecca Marino | 21c | 173.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rebecca Marino | 26c | 170.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Rebecca Marino | 15c | 170.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rebecca Marino | 20c | 154.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Rebecca Marino | 33c | 152.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Rebecca Marino | 11c | 145.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 130.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Rebecca Marino | 20c | 124.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Zeynep Sonmez | 63c | 104.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Rebecca Marino | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Rebecca Marino | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Rebecca Marino | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Rebecca Marino | 26c | 80.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Rebecca Marino | 26c | 74.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 71.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 65.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Zeynep Sonmez | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Zeynep Sonmez | 69c | 56.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Rebecca Marino | 38c | 53.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Rebecca Marino | 40c | 50.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Rebecca Marino | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Rebecca Marino | 39c | 45.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Zeynep Sonmez | 63c | 38.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…08bcbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 22.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…3667backed Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 62c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Zeynep Sonmez | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 455 | 64.6%294 W · 161 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Zeynep Sonmez | 77c | 14.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmezthis page
- Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Marino (+1.5)Sonmez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.