NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb72c1a353cc848bfa5b5b21f7e4ae7cb18fed5a42418b954a579af0bfa9b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooklyn Netsof Oklahoma City Thunder, Brooklyn Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 0c | 11,656$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 33c | 1,965$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brooklyn Nets | 63c | 1,756$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Brooklyn Nets | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 11c | 786.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 38c | 725.74$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Brooklyn Nets | 63c | 632.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 31c | 630.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brooklyn Nets | 64c | 617.14$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 34c | 306.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 19c | 280.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 11c | 220.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 12c | 206$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Brooklyn Nets | 65c | 189.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Brooklyn Nets | 62c | 162.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Brooklyn Nets | 61c | 156.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 43c | 139.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Brooklyn Nets | 71c | 130$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 12c | 101.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 38c | 88.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 39c | 86.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Brooklyn Nets | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 39c | 58.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 37c | 40.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Brooklyn Nets | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Brooklyn Nets | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brooklyn Nets | 57c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.