Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4160ebbf26ba6d582f5e9bd40eb865ef06e67f2cebe5e0da1ee392e775c782e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 4c | 1,127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 50c | 1,011$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 659.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 13c | 597.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 51c | 550.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 526.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 17c | 465.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 40c | 452.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 57c | 439.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Over | 50c | 398.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 346.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 72c | 276.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 54c | 226.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 42c | 219.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 74c | 213$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 15c | 210.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 54c | 182.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 153.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 37c | 139.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 102$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Over | 49c | 101.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Over | 46c | 100.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 47c | 98.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 80.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 43c | 75.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 41c | 67.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 50c | 65.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 49c | 53.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 44c | 50.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 49c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 49c | 42.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Under | 59c | 41.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 38c | 40.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Over | 50c | 40.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 47c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…96a8backed Under | 57c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…0bc0backed Under | 59c | 25.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…e34abacked Over | 65c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Under | 59c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.