Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2d8e99dd99a76c225a35eb6ce66e4afa84799c8016571f45fcd43c7a4b7520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Invictus Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 35,000$23,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 26,731$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,058.25 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 12,739$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.82 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Invictus Gaming | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 7,063$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.34 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 4,636$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.52 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 4,000$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.62 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 3,635$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.14 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 2,959$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Invictus Gaming | 31c | 1,818$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Invictus Gaming | 33c | 1,146$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.43 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 939.92$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 926.47$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 713.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 710.06$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Invictus Gaming | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 527.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Invictus Gaming | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Invictus Gaming | 32c | 488.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Invictus Gaming | 57c | 458.45$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.24 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 456.16$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Invictus Gaming | 32c | 399.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 313$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 302.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…e5d8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…192ebacked Invictus Gaming | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 271.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 224.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…afb3backed Invictus Gaming | 32c | 206.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 69c | 195.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 152.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Invictus Gaming | 32c | 151.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Invictus Gaming | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 142.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 115.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 79.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 62.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Invictus Gaming | 61c | 60.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Invictus Gaming | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b014backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 69c | 58.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 52.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…30debacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 49.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 46.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…3101backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 45.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Invictus Gaming | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 43.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 71c | 42.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 34.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Invictus Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…a315backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Invictus Gaming | 76c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…26b5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.