Tennis · resolved market
Alicante: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc874c7c1aaf01ca92daa727538fec3112fae3be8434c3fef2341770cfc9ba72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Svyatoslav Gulin, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 17c | 7,998$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 2c | 6,831$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 13c | 3,307$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.5 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 15c | 2,610$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 15c | 2,140$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.03 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 13c | 1,843$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 29c | 1,399$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.51 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 2c | 1,348$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 1,046$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 940.27$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 15c | 492.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 20c | 477$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 14c | 467$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 13c | 367.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 23c | 359$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 19c | 358.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 27c | 332.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 14c | 307.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 33c | 300.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 23c | 286.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 28c | 239.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 76c | 215.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 14c | 215$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 16c | 159$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Svyatoslav Gulin | 8c | 131.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…6a13backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 21c | 103.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 98.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 24c | 92.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 21c | 85.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Svyatoslav Gulin | 28c | 72.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 75c | 57.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 45.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 44.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 60c | 26.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 25.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…41d9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 18.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alicante: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Gulin vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.