MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a44994ebb54456d7194e7ac21486dcf7e7278d966b861e9b16c5fcb805aabc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 36,300$17,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,061.14 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 22,033$11,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,575.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 20,328$9,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,757.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 17,925$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.17 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 3,434$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 2,172$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.89 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.64 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 1,555$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,252$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.48 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 959.74$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.67 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 943.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.31 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 884.57$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.75 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 835.89$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 748$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.56 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 584.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 565.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 565.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…4e4dbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 413.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 299$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 294.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 289.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 282.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 218.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 166.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 107.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 93.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 86.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f5ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 74.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 74.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 71.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 66.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 47.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3636backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 43.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 42.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 37.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…822dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…d1cabacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 32.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 23.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 21.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3da9backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 14.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.