MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa599254bcc20a70f58564f8b2bb7a23ebb7d11ab54de8729cc727815df48d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 6,985$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 6,393$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 6,048$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 4,241$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 1,305$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 1,207$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.04 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 883.38$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.18 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 627$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 519.08$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 287.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 218.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 188.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 176.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 160.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 143.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 143.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 114.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 95.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 84.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 67.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…ec7fbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 59.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 57.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 44.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 33.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 28.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 25.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 14.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.