MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3268763c13f03013fb7128396a3ee5027db343784b5ab2754d5e39177111b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 4,725$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.86 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 4,360$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.34 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,509$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.01 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 999.68$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 516.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 494.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 436.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 398.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 289.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 250.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 237$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 192.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 190.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 146.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 121.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 69.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 65.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 49.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 44.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 39.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 39.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 35.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 33.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 14.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.