MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56f8d052f6f029a9cca3613c92da20183cb73384fc32cfd7ce84dbe581714ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Boston Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.97 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 15,313$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,197.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 14,892$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 12,066$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.02 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 5,036$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 53c | 4,744$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Athletics | 53c | 2,242$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,158$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 51c | 2,036$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 77c | 1,646$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Athletics | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 726.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 673$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics | 52c | 483.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.17 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 56c | 475.58$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 470.95$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 319.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 53c | 271.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 52c | 234.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 53c | 207.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Athletics | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 141.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 133.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 95.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Athletics | 53c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 62.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 36.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Athletics | 54c | 33.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…3374backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Athletics | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…b3f4backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Athletics | 57c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.