College Football · resolved market
Navy vs. Temple
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7753b3d0127f5ca296f3f208dd01a6355d972f5ab596b744b57c462548f0fbe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Navy, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Temple | 76c | 65,342$49,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,816.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Navy | 27c | 37,333$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,253.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Temple | 79c | 13,112$10,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,327.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Navy | 17c | 10,180$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.22 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Navy | 21c | 9,341$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Navy | 15c | 5,129$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Navy | 58c | 3,282$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.16 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Navy | 68c | 2,635$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Navy | 76c | 2,022$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Temple | 25c | 2,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Temple | 26c | 1,967$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navy | 32c | 1,651$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.56 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Navy | 76c | 1,583$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Temple | 24c | 1,582$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Navy | 15c | 1,409$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Navy | 40c | 1,385$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Navy | 75c | 1,350$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Navy | 41c | 1,281$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.59 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Navy | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Navy | 75c | 1,200$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy | 43c | 1,135$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.64 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Navy | 74c | 1,130$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Navy | 46c | 1,027$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Navy | 75c | 756.28$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Navy | 35c | 730.4$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.03 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Temple | 38c | 703.3$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Navy | 31c | 659.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.83 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Navy | 75c | 616$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy | 20c | 615.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.18 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Navy | 34c | 574.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Temple | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Navy | 71c | 423.16$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Navy | 16c | 366.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Temple | 75c | 340$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Navy | 60c | 328.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Temple | 14c | 321.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Temple | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Navy | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Navy | 75c | 295.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Temple | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Temple | 37c | 272.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Navy | 35c | 258.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Navy | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Navy | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Navy | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Navy | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Navy | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Temple | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Navy | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Navy | 58c | 148.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…f8cdbacked Navy | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Navy | 34c | 114.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Navy | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Navy | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Navy | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Temple | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navy | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Navy | 28c | 80.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Navy | 39c | 75.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Navy | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…05babacked Navy | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Temple | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Navy | 58c | 29.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Navy | 62c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed Navy | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy vs. Templethis page
- Navy vs. Temple: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Navy (-9.5)Temple won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.