MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a4417ab86215cb755be5dbc8382c016bfc1fb8a582eb83f36a4fbb8d9afa47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Royals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Royals | 0c | 21,185$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 56c | 3,912$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Royals | 58c | 3,527$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.52 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox | 43c | 3,369$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.14 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 70c | 3,191$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Royals | 29c | 3,043$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.35 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 54c | 2,288$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 55c | 2,200$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Royals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked White Sox | 41c | 1,988$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Royals | 29c | 1,894$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,791$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Royals | 60c | 1,583$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 73c | 1,421$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.94 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 38c | 1,230$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Royals | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed White Sox | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Royals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 56c | 899.97$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed White Sox | 71c | 818.83$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 41c | 778$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.59 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 3c | 756$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 28c | 707.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked White Sox | 41c | 595.91$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed White Sox | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 16c | 537.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 5c | 536.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Royals | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked White Sox | 41c | 520$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Royals | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Royals | 56c | 465$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed White Sox | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Royals | 58c | 410.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Royals | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 56c | 386.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed White Sox | 36c | 355.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 20c | 350$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 39c | 328.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 4c | 279.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Royals | 55c | 219.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Royals | 8c | 216.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed White Sox | 39c | 168.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 60c | 166.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Royals | 60c | 164.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed White Sox | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 42c | 159.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed White Sox | 41c | 140$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 42c | 134.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 56c | 128.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 40c | 122.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…4fccbacked White Sox | 45c | 117.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Royals | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Royals | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Royals | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Royals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…e6c0backed White Sox | 46c | 98.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…633ebacked Royals | 57c | 95.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Royals | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3152…0f1bbacked Royals | 56c | 94.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…4deebacked White Sox | 45c | 94.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…b770backed White Sox | 45c | 90.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…4ef9backed Royals | 56c | 89.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc21…5020backed Royals | 56c | 89.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…f1fbbacked White Sox | 45c | 88.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…27e4backed Royals | 56c | 86.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…4304backed White Sox | 45c | 83.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…3fa7backed Royals | 56c | 81.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 43c | 76.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 56c | 71.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Royals | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed White Sox | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked White Sox | 67c | 67.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Royals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Royals | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…1859backed White Sox | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Royals | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 42c | 50.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 41c | 45.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…45f1backed Royals | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Royals | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 46c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Royals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed White Sox | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…14e1backed Royals | 35c | 34.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Royals | 59c | 33.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Royals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.