College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d828c50b768e1a751b41d6d588b160a8116b531b9c30838ddf024f505076aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Washington | 48c | 13,420$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.58 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Washington | 48c | 12,500$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ohio State | 50c | 12,220$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.27 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Washington | 52c | 10,546$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Ohio State | 51c | 9,736$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Ohio State | 51c | 4,349$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.24 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State | 51c | 4,046$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.5 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ohio State | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Ohio State | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Ohio State | 52c | 1,362$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Ohio State | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Ohio State | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Ohio State | 47c | 335.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Washington | 50c | 309$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…34e4backed Ohio State | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Ohio State | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…9edabacked Ohio State | 52c | 189.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Washington | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ohio State | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ohio State | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Ohio State | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Washington | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Washington | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Washington | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Ohio State | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Washington | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Ohio State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Washington | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Washington | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed Ohio State | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…a9dabacked Ohio State | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Washington | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Ohio State | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…3635backed Ohio State | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Ohio State | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…b678backed Ohio State | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Ohio State | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. WashingtonOhio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.