College Football · resolved market
Army vs. East Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x465bb7c09fd6dd71b1dce092970aa5dbe0754bd04754d90580e32205c744d55d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof Army, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Army | 37c | 15,560$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.04 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Army | 38c | 13,193$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed East Carolina | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Carolina | 69c | 9,986$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Army | 38c | 9,663$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.03 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed East Carolina | 64c | 8,400$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed East Carolina | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Army | 1c | 4,682$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked East Carolina | 67c | 3,188$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.27 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Army | 5c | 3,126$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Army | 2c | 2,430$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Army | 12c | 2,124$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked East Carolina | 63c | 2,052$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.08 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed East Carolina | 62c | 1,615$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.7 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked East Carolina | 62c | 1,480$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.55 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Army | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.83 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked East Carolina | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Army | 35c | 597.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Army | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Army | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked East Carolina | 64c | 430.26$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Army | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked East Carolina | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed East Carolina | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked East Carolina | 63c | 307$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked East Carolina | 63c | 227$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Army | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked East Carolina | 63c | 180.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Army | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed East Carolina | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Army | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Army | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked East Carolina | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Army | 36c | 70.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed East Carolina | 64c | 67.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Army | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked East Carolina | 62c | 45.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Army | 33c | 43.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed East Carolina | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed East Carolina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed East Carolina | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked East Carolina | 62c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. East Carolinathis page
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: East Carolina (-5.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.