MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f5d787cf5540d1ccfe31fcb310f469b5593b17b0f9ec9b024629febf68a9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Rangers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Rangers | 1c | 27,899$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers | 64c | 6,602$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.54 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 57c | 5,139$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.12 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 55c | 3,806$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 56c | 3,231$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 33c | 2,990$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Guardians | 49c | 2,978$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.25 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 25c | 2,609$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 27c | 2,478$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.54 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 44c | 2,460$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.36 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,740$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.57 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 37c | 1,515$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,411$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Rangers | 43c | 1,177$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Rangers | 66c | 1,049$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.82 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.59 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 51c | 998.04$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rangers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 35c | 878.31$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 46c | 764.34$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 44c | 685.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 56c | 625.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rangers | 42c | 620.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Guardians | 49c | 613.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Guardians | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 29c | 595$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 57c | 532$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 44c | 490.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Rangers | 71c | 376.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rangers | 70c | 332.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Rangers | 65c | 317.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rangers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Guardians | 37c | 243.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 58c | 241$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Guardians | 10c | 202$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Rangers | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Rangers | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 50c | 199.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Guardians | 57c | 191.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Rangers | 44c | 160.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rangers | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Guardians | 66c | 151.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 50c | 125.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 66c | 121$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Rangers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rangers | 63c | 103.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Guardians | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Rangers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…27dbbacked Rangers | 80c | 96.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 64c | 94.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Guardians | 28c | 87.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Guardians | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Guardians | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 60c | 79.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Guardians | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Guardians | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rangers | 44c | 53.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 58c | 43.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rangers | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Guardians | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Guardians | 55c | 33.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Guardians | 67c | 30.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Rangers | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Rangers | 66c | 26.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Guardians | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…c9a7backed Rangers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Rangers | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…3691backed Guardians | 56c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…9e90backed Guardians | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.