College Football · resolved market
San Jose State vs. Stanford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cd8e4b8a9f6ecbccbc95257e388dec771bb599408d441b98946e5d4af60f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanfordof San Jose State, Stanford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed San Jose State | 66c | 16,746$11,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,069.55 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Stanford | 36c | 14,720$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,462.36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Stanford | 58c | 11,231$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stanford | 32c | 7,445$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.37 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Stanford | 59c | 4,800$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed San Jose State | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State | 72c | 3,789$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.05 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed San Jose State | 42c | 3,697$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.7 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Jose State | 42c | 2,219$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.49 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 64c | 2,040$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.23 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked San Jose State | 43c | 2,017$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.95 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Jose State | 40c | 2,006$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.25 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Jose State | 43c | 1,863$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.15 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stanford | 46c | 1,795$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.82 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Stanford | 59c | 1,459$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.75 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State | 65c | 1,266$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.48 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed San Jose State | 40c | 1,063$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.05 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed San Jose State | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stanford | 59c | 690$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed San Jose State | 26c | 655$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Stanford | 55c | 601.2$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed San Jose State | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Stanford | 39c | 561$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.87 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Stanford | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked San Jose State | 41c | 384$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford | 48c | 290$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stanford | 59c | 282.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed San Jose State | 9c | 274.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Jose State | 14c | 272$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Jose State | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Stanford | 56c | 225.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stanford | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed San Jose State | 80c | 145.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed San Jose State | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked Stanford | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed San Jose State | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed San Jose State | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked San Jose State | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked San Jose State | 41c | 92.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Jose State | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Stanford | 35c | 86.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Stanford | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked San Jose State | 41c | 76.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Stanford | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Stanford | 62c | 48.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Stanford | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Stanford | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Stanford | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stanford | 58c | 25.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed San Jose State | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Stanford | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Stanford | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed San Jose State | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State vs. Stanfordthis page
- Spread: Stanford (-2.5)San Jose State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.